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Send station · the claim, dispatched

Ostrich Effect

People avoid seeking information that they expect will be psychologically painful or threatening, preferring ignorance over confronting potentially negative realities.

Supports

Mis-route → belongs in Refutes

The bias files watch for people who stop checking their bank/investment accounts when markets fall as confirmation.

Selective attention to portfolio information

Investors logged into their accounts significantly less frequently in falling and flat markets than in rising markets

n≈200000

Liquidity premium and the ostrich effect

The yield difference between liquid T-bills and illiquid deposits was higher in periods of greater uncertainty

qual.

Simplified stock market ostrich effect

Subjects exhibited status quo bias

qual.

Refutes / corrects

— none filed

In the wild

Investor portfolio monitoring during market downturns

Karlsson et al

2009

Enron and WorldCom accounting scandals

During the Enron and WorldCom scandals

2001-2002

Climate change information avoidance

Research on climate change communication has found that when people feel unknowledgeable about an issue and the problem…

2019

Clear flow

Dispatch log · replication robust. The core finding has been replicated across multiple large-scale financial datasets (Swedish, American, and Israeli markets), an experimental asset market (Brown & Kagel, 2009), and extended to health information avoidance, academic feedback seeking, and climate change information processing. The effect sizes are substantial and consistent across methodologies.

Pressure diagram · why it sorts this way

Karlsson, Loewenstein, and Seppi (2009) proposed a formal model where information acquisition decisions are linked to hedonic utility. Acquiring and attending to information has three effects: (1) an 'impact effect' where definitive knowledge has greater psychological impact than suspicion; (2) a 'reference-point updating effect' where attention accelerates adjustment of one's utility reference point; and (3) a 'risk aversion effect' where attention affects the location of the reference point along the utility curve. Given plausible parameter values, the model predicts asymmetric preferences for uncertainty resolution: people seek information after good news but avoid it after bad or ambiguous news.

Manual override

Automate information delivery so avoidance requires active effort rather than passive neglect, and reframe information as decision-useful rather than evaluative.

Karlsson et al. (2009) note that making information acquisition automatic (e.g., automatic portfolio updates) or reframing information as instrumental to goals rather than as ego-threatening feedback can reduce avoidance. Webb et al. (2013) found that reminding people of long-term goals reduced the ostrich problem.

Routed from Dan Galai, Orly Sade, 2003 — The 'Ostrich Effect' and the Relationship between the Liquidity and the Yields of Financial Assets.

Adjacent stations

  • Selective ExposureThe ostrich effect is a specific form of selective exposure, where people selectively avoid information that might cause psychological discomfort.
  • Myopic Loss AversionBoth involve emotional reactions to financial information; myopic loss aversion predicts that frequent information monitoring reduces risk-taking, while the ostrich effect predicts selective avoidance of information.
  • Information AvoidanceInformation avoidance is the broader construct; the ostrich effect specifically refers to the avoidance of negative information due to anticipated psychological discomfort.

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